Just because you care, here is my list of Oscar 2011 predictions in the main categories. The rest of them I'm certain are decided by trained monkeys.
Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, The Fighter
Purely to see what accent he'll use in his acceptance speech.
Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, The Fighter
Playing a bitchy girlfriend isn't hard. Male voters will pick Amy Adams because they think their bitchy girlfriends will bitch at them if they don't. Female voters will pick Melissa Leo. Smart voters will pick Hailee Steinfeld. The weak of mind will pick Helena Bonham Carter, and blame it on the imperious curse.
*EDIT: Clearly I underestimated the number of female voters. Also the effect of plastering your f***** face on every magazine in Hollywood
Best Actress
Natalie Portman, Black Swan
It takes talent to make a lesbian sex scene unsexy, congratulations Natalie.
Best Actor
Colin Firth, The King's Speech
For the best English stuttering since Hugh Grant.
Best Picture
The King's Speech
Not a terribly good movie but by this time it will be 11:30 and people will be itching to get out and go to sleep and someone will shout "Just pick the pretentious one!"
The Actual Best Picture
Scott Pilgrim vs. The World
Not Really! But the only movie I didn't feel like walking out of!
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